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IDC finds slower growth in the mobile phone market in 2007 while Samsung captures the number two position for the year

Jan 25, 2008

The worldwide mobile phone market passed a new milestone in shipments by recording over 300 million devices shipped during the fourth quarter, while experiencing slower year-over-year growth for 2007.

According to IDC's Worldwide Mobile Phone Tracker, the 334.0 million handsets shipped during the holiday quarter was a new record for the industry, and was up 15.3% over last quarter.

For the entire year, total shipments reached 1,144.1 million units in 2007 with 12.4% overall growth. Nokia once again led vendors in shipments throughout the year, although some shakeup in the vendor rankings did occur. Samsung, which had been the number three vendor in the industry, surpassed Motorola during 2007 to capture the number two spot.

"Give credit to Samsung for taking the number two position worldwide from Motorola," says Ramon Llamas, research analyst with IDC's Mobile Devices Technology and Trends team. "For the past few years, Samsung's growth kept pace with the market, but in 2007 the company beat the market almost by a factor of four. Samsung capitalized on replacement handset opportunities in the United States and Europe with a steady stream of mid-range and high-end devices while Motorola spent much of the year addressing inventory challenges across EMEA and Asia. Now that Motorola is implementing a new handset strategy, it will be interesting to watch the hotly contested number two position in 2008."

"Over the last three years, growth in the industry during the holiday quarter has fluctuated from 18.0% to 30.0%, and this past quarter we saw it drop to 11.6%," said Ryan Reith, senior research analyst with IDC's Worldwide Mobile Phone Tracker. "The expectation that the market would maintain the level of growth it saw over the last three years was unrealistic. We expect growth to be in the single digits throughout 2008, and most likely for years to follow."

Top Five Mobile Phone Vendors
Nokia shipped more units in the fourth quarter than the next three vendors' shipment volumes combined. This, Nokia executives pointed out, was the result of its streamlined operations, which produced on average nearly 1.5 million units each day during the quarter. This number could have been even higher if the company did not have to deal with component shortages during production. Regardless, it still marks a significant accomplishment. Nokia's volumes were primarily driven by entry level products from its 1100 and 1200 device families, but its biggest revenue and profit generators came from its premium Nseries devices.

Samsung achieved several noteworthy accomplishments to end 2007: It took the No. 2 position worldwide for the year, posted its third consecutive quarter as the No. 2 vendor worldwide, and recorded its sixth consecutive quarter of shipment growth. In the process, Samsung realized double-digit profit margins during the quarter, resulting from an emphasis on its premium Ultra Edition phones and converged mobile devices. Looking ahead to the first quarter of 2008, the company plans to top its 46.3 million shipment volume while maintaining profit margins.

Motorola spent another quarter addressing its challenges, the most significant being a slowing demand for Motorola's products. CEO Greg Brown pointed out that the company had missed out on significant growth areas, most notably in 3G, China, and emerging markets, and that gaps in Motorola's current product portfolio had to be addressed. Recent announcements of its ROKR E8, Z10, and W series reflect Motorola's attempts to revive its handset business, but recovery is expected to continue into 2009.

Sony Ericsson broke through the thirty million unit mark for the first time in its history. As in previous quarters, EMEA represented the bulk of the company's shipments, but it also improved its presence in North America, Latin America, and Asia/Pacific. Even with greater attention and resources going towards emerging markets, Sony Ericsson still recorded the highest ASP among the leading vendors. Key devices for the quarter included the K550, W200, W300 and the W580.

LG Electronics took another step towards breaking the 25 million mark, and with the success of premium devices in developed markets and cost effectiveness, the company also realized slight operating margin improvement. Key to its success were several models released during the quarter, including the Voyager and Venus in the United States, and the Viewty in Europe. Despite its positive results during the quarter, LG saw the distance between itself and Sony Ericsson grow to more than seven million units, reversing the progress it had made in previous quarters. 

 Top Five Mobile Phone Vendors, Worldwide Q3 2007 Results 

Vendor

4Q07 Unit Shipments

4Q07 Market Share

4Q06 Unit Shipments

4Q06 Market Share

4Q07/4Q06 Growth

Nokia

133.5

40.0%

105.5

35.2%

26.5%

Samsung

46.3

13.9%

32.9

11.0%

40.7%

Motorola

40.9

12.2%

65.7

22.0%

-37.8%

Sony Ericsson

30.8

9.2%

26.0

8.7%

18.5%

LG Electronics

23.7

7.1%

17.7

5.9%

33.6%

Others

58.8

17.6%

51.5

17.2%

14.2%

Total

334.0

100.0%

299.3

100.0%

11.6%

Shipments in millions.

Source: IDC Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, January 25, 2008

Top Five Mobile Phone Vendors, Worldwide Full Year 2007 Results

Vendor

2007 Unit Shipments

2007 Market Share

2006 Unit Shipments

2006 Market Share

2007/2006 Growth

Nokia

437.1

38.2%

347.5

34.2%

25.8%

Samsung

161.1

14.1%

113.7

11.2%

41.7%

Motorola

159.0

13.9%

217.4

21.4%

-26.9%

Sony Ericsson

103.4

9.0%

74.7

7.3%

38.4%

LG Electronics

80.5

7.0%

63.5

6.2%

26.8%

Others

202.9

17.7%

200.6

19.7%

1.1%

Total

1144.1

100.0%

1017.4

100.0%

12.4%

Shipments in millions.

Source: IDC Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, January 25, 2008.

Note: Vendor shipments are branded shipments and exclude OEM sales for all vendors.

Mobile Phones - These small, battery-powered, voice-centric devices utilize operator-provided cellular/PCS air interfaces for voice communication. They are designed primarily, in both form factor and feature set, for a compelling mobile telephony experience, but may also include text-messaging capability. Mobile phones may include a headset jack for hands-free operation as well as a variety of features, such as personal information management, multimedia, games, or office applications. Mobile phones exist at all points along the form factor, price point, and feature set continua. Mobile phones that combine voice communications capabilities with pen or keypad handheld data features are tracked within the Converged Devices category.

For more information about IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, please contact Kathy Nagamine at 650-350-6423 or knagamine@idc.com.

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